93. Memorandum From Stephen Larrabee of the National Security Council Staff to the President’s Assistant for National Security Affairs (Brzezinski)1
SUBJECT
- Meeting with Lyuben Gotsev (U)
Attached is the memcon of the meeting which Marshall and I had on Friday, October 26, 1979 with Lyuben Gotsev,2 Head of the North American Section of the Bulgarian MFA. As I suspected he would, Gotsev did raise the issue of a meeting between Lyudmila Zhivkova and the President and expressed disappointment that the President had not been able to see her. He also made a strong pitch for MFN, arguing that recent progress on family reunification and visas had removed any remaining obstacles to Sofia obtaining MFN. (C)
I had the impression from the meeting with Gotsev that the Bulgarians do genuinely desire an improvement in relations and that they feel that they have met us more than halfway with the recent resolution of the family reunification problems, etc.—a view shared by George Vest as a result of his recent trip to Sofia. (C)
[Page 270]While granting Sofia MFN is clearly out of the question in the immediate future, we should give serious consideration to what else we might do to encourage Bulgaria’s interest in improved relations. Despite Bulgaria’s close ties to the Soviet Union, the prospects for some change over the long run may not be as dismal as often assumed. The rejuvenation in the Bulgarian leadership which has taken place since 1976 combined with a prolonged succession crisis in the Soviet Union could induce Bulgaria to pursue a moderately more flexible policy in areas where this does not fundamentally contradict Soviet interests. This was the case in 1964 at the time of Khrushchev’s ouster (when Bulgaria came close to normalizing relations with Bonn and took a number of other uncharacteristically independent initiatives in the Balkans) and it is not inconceivable that a similar development could occur in the immediate post-Brezhnev period. (C)
In short, while we should have no illusions about the degree of Bulgaria’s dependence on the Soviet Union, we should not write off Bulgaria entirely. We should do what we can to encourage Bulgaria to broaden its ties with the West and test Sofia’s willingness to improve relations with the United States (perhaps by including Bulgaria in a trip by a Cabinet official at some point). (C)
- Source: Carter Library, National Security File, Brzezinski Material, Country File, Box 6, Bulgaria: 1/77–1/81. Confidential. Sent for information. Copies were sent to Brement, Blackwill, Rentschler, and Griffith. Brzezinski wrote at the top of the memorandum: “Let’s explore a single initiative as a test. ZB.”↩
- Brzezinski had approved the meeting with Gotsev on October 24.↩
- Confidential. The meeting took place in Brement’s office.↩
- For Garthoff’s meeting with Mladenov, and his subsequent discussion with Gotsev, see Document 91.↩
- Vest’s travel was reported in telegram 2682 from Sofia, October 26. (National Archives, RG 59, Central Policy File, D790511–0120)↩
- See Document 92. No records of Mrs. Zhivkova’s meetings with Secretary Harris, Mrs. Mondale, and USICA Director Reinhardt were found. In a memorandum to Brzezinski dated October 6, Tarnoff recommended that Joan Mondale meet Zhivkova at the White House since it would be viewed in Sofia as “another favorable response to its recent moves to improve relations with us.” (Carter Library, National Security Affairs, Brzezinski Material, Country File, Box 6, Bulgaria: 1/77–1/81) The NSC forwarded the memorandum with its concurrence to Denis Clift on October 9. (Ibid.)↩
- Vance was scheduled to visit Bucharest and Belgrade in mid-December 1979. The trip was canceled at the last minute, however, due to the developing Iran hostage crisis.↩