[Attachment]
3
Paper Prepared by Thomas J. Corcoran
Washington,
April 13,
1961.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS IN LAOS
Watch Committee conclusion of April 13, 1961 summarizes the critical
political and military situations developing in Laos. It observes
that the apparent collapse of the Government’s Muong Kassy offensive
will further depress FAL and
Vientiane morale and will permit the communists to resume attacks in
the Luang Probang and Vang Vieng areas. It notes indications in the
Paksane area that the communists are making preparations for
military pressure against Government forces which have withdrawn
from Tha Thom. It finds increasing indications that communist forces
in Central Laos have been strengthened in recent weeks, and that the
pattern of military clashes suggests that the communists are
preparing to make a relatively strong military effort in the
direction of Thakhek. It predicts that in view of the Government’s
weakened military posture in this area and its general lack of
trained reserves, the communists can probably make further extensive
military gains. It concludes that the bloc position that the
contending elements in Laos should discuss the terms of a cease-fire
is probably intended to stall the termination of active hostilities.
It observes that if the position which the Asian communists have
advanced—that a cease-fire should be effected simultaneously with a
conference—becomes the official bloc position, it will be further
evidence of bloc interest in maximizing, without precipitating
SEATO intervention, the
communist military and political position in Laos prior to any
conference.
Thus, while the Russians maintain their airlift and delay their reply
to the British note on a cease-fire in Laos, both the political and
military situations in Laos continue to deteriorate. We now face the
distinct possibility of entering a fourteen-power conference under
the pressure of successful communist military activity. We also face
the strong possibility that the Royal Lao Government will be drawn
into premature negotiation of substantive political questions in the
course of long drawn-out cease-fire talks with the Pathet Lao in a
manner to prejudice its prospects at the conference.
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If we are to head off either of these equally disastrous
possibilities we must arrest and, if possible, reverse the current
adverse trend reflected in yesterday’s watch report. Action to this
end should be designed markedly to improve the circumstances under
which a fourteen-power conference would begin. It should also be
designed to exert pressure on the communist bloc by demonstrating in
a deliberate and limited manner our readiness to take whatever
measures may be appropriate to create for ourselves at least a
reasonably strong negotiating position.
The first step in so demonstrating our readiness would be to inform
our SEATO allies, individually or
collectively, of our concern at the dangerous nature of current bloc
actions. The Russian failure to respond on the cease-fire question,
the continuation of the Russian airlift and evidence of Pathet Lao
military preparations against Paksane and Thakhek are significant in
this regard. This ominous combination of circumstances would be
described as casting doubt on Russian intentions to proceed with the
conference in a meaningful manner. We would inform our SEATO allies that we were planning in
concert with the Thai, whose security is immediately threatened,
certain emergency measures which would support the RLG against bloc
pressure and incidentally put some pressure on the Russians to
respond on the cease-fire question. These measures would follow
logically in the absence of a satisfactory Russian reply to our
demarche in Moscow of April _, 1961.
We would tell our SEATO allies that
the limited measures we proposed might well fail to bolster the Lao
Government or to induce the Russians to move towards a cease-fire.
That is, the Pathet Lao attempt to take over Laos by force of arms
and with formidable bloc assistance might be continued or even
intensified. In this event we should at least have obtained
confirmation of bloc intentions and should know that SEATO ought promptly to take
appropriate action such as implementing Plan 5/61.
The emergency measures we would plan to take in the absence of a
constructive Russian reply on the cease-fire question by April 15
would include removal of certain restraints we have heretofore
placed on the Royal Lao Government and tangible demonstration of
friendly support for the Royal Lao Government in its present
difficult predicament. Specifically, we should:
- a)
- Authorize the operational employment of certain aircraft,
which the Royal Lao Government now has available and for
which it has obtained qualified pilots, against appropriate
military targets in Laos. Some 15 B–26 aircraft are involved
and they would use machine guns, rockets, high explosive
munitions or combinations of some or all of these weapons as
determined by the characteristics of available
targets.
- b)
- Send into Laos a small token force of uniformed Americans
and Thai (and perhaps Filipino and Pakistani) military
specialists and technicians.
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The American personnel would be
produced by ordering LTAG
personnel into uniform; that is, by ordering them to add
USARMY insignia to their present costumes. PEO personnel would retain
their present “civilian” status at least for the time
being.
- c)
- Authorize and provide logistics, pay and support for seven
additional Lao Army battalions and their supporting service
troops. (Six of these are already in being, but not
receiving US support.)
- d)
- Authorize and obtain the approval of the Royal Thai
Government for the immediate commitment to Laos of two Thai
105 mm. artillery batteries with personnel and
equipment.
These recommendations are made in the full knowledge that they may
have adverse effect on plans for an international conference.
However, the communists’ stalling tactics, their continued military
buildup, and their political maneuvering (especially their
successful buildup of Souvanna
Phouma) appear to be conditioning the approach to the
conference in a way unacceptable to us. Furthermore, we think it
equally likely that the steps recommended above might well bring
about a cease-fire and a conference sooner rather than later, and
enable us to enter the conference on an acceptable basis.
These steps should be taken on the assumption that we may face
stepped-up communist retaliation in the area. Under these conditions
SEATO elements, in part or in
whole, must be ready to act, and immediate precautionary measures
must be taken to supply air defense of friendly forces in the
area.