187. Memorandum From the President’s Military Representative
(Taylor) to
President Kennedy2
Washington,
September 26,
1961.
You have expressed an interest in discussing with Brigadier General
William H. Craig, Joint Staff, his recent trip
to Southeast Asia.3 Since
it appears difficult to get this discussion on your schedule in the near
future, I am enclosing a summary of the briefing which he gave my group.
You will note the emphasis which he places upon the lack of leadership
in the Royal Laotian Army, the increased enemy build-up in the Laotian
panhandle, and his feeling of the need of a tough MAAG/Embassy team on the Van
Fleet/Peurifoy model.
[Attachment]
4
SUMMARY OF BRIEFING BY BRIGADIER GENERAL WILLIAM H. CRAIG, JOINT
STAFF, ON HIS TRIP TO SOUTHEAST ASIA
- 1.
- Lack of leadership at all levels is a major deficiency of the
FAL. There is no alternative
to General Phoumi at the
top. He is the only driving
[Page 427]
force in Laos. However, we must begin to
get tough with him; we must insist upon release of incompetent
officers and NCO’s. At present,
incompetent officers tend to be rewarded and competent ones
replaced. Junior officers are not given basic guidance and
instruction by their superiors; and there are serious shortages
in officer and NCO ranks.
- 2.
- The FAL logistic system is
totally ineffective and there is an urgent requirement for a
“U.S.-directed” logistic system down to battalion level.
- 3.
- There are serious deficiencies in training which are only
beginning to be remedied by the extensive training program now
under way. Fighting often appears to be a kind of chess game
with men and artillery pieces as the pawns.
- 4.
- Since the beginning of the ostensible cease-fire, the
international impression of activities in Laos has been one of
stalemate and inactivity. However, the cease-fire did not result
in the end of shooting but only in lessened intensity and
frequency of operations. The FAL
has been engaged in intense training activity, regrouping,
reorganization, re-deployment, and small unit combat activity to
counter PL/Viet Minh limited
offensives and other cease-fire violations. The FAL has established liaison with
the armed forces of South Viet Nam, to include South Viet Nam
detachments at Savannakhet, Saravane and Attopeu. Phoumi is also in constant
contact through liaison officers with Sarit and has discussed his
contingency plans with the Thai Chief of Staff.
- 5.
- During the cease-fire period the enemy has been engaged in:
(a) controlling Phong Saly, Sam Neua and Xieng Khouang; (b)
suppressing Meos in the Plaine des Jarres; (c) infiltrating
south Laos (most recently in company and battalion size units)
along the common border of Laos/Viet Nam; (d) replenishing
supplies by aerial and truck convoy operations; (e) recruiting
and training the PL, both in Laos
and in North Viet Nam; and (f) engaging in patroling and probing
actions and hit-and-run raids. On balance, due primarily to
extensive Viet Minh cadreing of the Lao units and Communist
logistic support, the PL has made
greater improvement than the FAL
during the cease-fire.
- 6.
- The objective of friendly operations has been to hold areas
held on May 3 or to retake them if lost, to defend themselves if
required, and to take no aggressive action to capture areas not
held at the time of the cease-fire. Sweeping and clearing
operations have taken place primarily in the provinces of Nam
Thai and Saraboury and around the cities of Vientiane and Pakse.
Actions by friendly forces to resist Communist probing actions
and hit-and-run raids have been carried out in a gingerly
fashion and have accomplished very little.
- 7.
- The general consensus is that there is a strong possibility
that large scale combat will be resumed at the end of the rainy
season, with
[Page 428]
special
enemy emphasis on the route into South Viet Nam through Laos. In
the face of an armed enemy attack in force, Phoumi can, at best, fight a
delaying action for no longer than two or three weeks. However,
if the enemy attacks and Phoumi is supported by a multi-national force
under SEATO Plan 5 or a
suitable variation, he should be able to hold his pres-ent
position, carry out extensive guerrilla operations in northeast
Laos, clear his rear areas, and continue to improve the combat
effectiveness of the FAL.
- 8.
- A most significant development with grave implications is the
recently increased enemy activity and buildup in the panhandle
in the area of Saravane/Attopeu. It is Phoumi’s and Diem’s conviction that the
Communists plan to split Laos by a north-south line rather than
by an east-west line. Such a split would greatly increase the
threat to South Viet Nam.
- 9.
- It is Ambassador Young’s view that Sarit will not provide any military units or
significantly increased cadres for the FAL without introduction of U.S. combat units on
the ground. “If the stops were pulled out”, Thailand would most
need two ranger battalions now, up to six later; training and
equipment for the border police; and integration of a Thai
ranger battalion with a U.S. battalion for a joint on-the-ground
training.
- 10.
- It is Ambassador Nolting’s view that we need a military plan big
enough so that it will work; that we should not take half-way
measures. It is also his view that, if a Souvanna Phouma government is
formed, the gate will be opened to the Communists and South Viet
Nam will go down fighting.
- 11.
- Diem considers a
general attack by North Viet Nam to be imminent. McGarr believes
that the recently approved 30,000 man increase in the GVN army
will provide a limited capability for defense against an attack
across the Lao border. Very small forces, if any, could be
spared now for action in Laos. Diem might risk joining a multi-national force
in Laos, but only if Western leadership and U.S. air and
logistic support is forthcoming at the outset, along with
concrete evidence that the West will put in ground
troops.
- 12.
- Phoumi considers that the most probable enemy course of action
will be to infiltrate South Viet Nam through eastern Laos. He
does not believe the cease-fire will last beyond September 30.
Phoumi indicated that
he would accept any help in the form of advisers we could give
him and indicated a willingness to accept Thai cadres in
advisory and command capacities.
- 13.
- We should negate the use of Cambodia and Burma as safe havens
and aids to the Communists through use of our unconventional
warfare capabilities.
- 14.
- General Craig’s team feels that we need in Laos a MAAG-Embassy team of the sort that
we had in Greece under Van Fleet and Peurifoy.
- 15.
- In conclusion, the team believes that with the end of the
rainy season the situation in Laos is now critical; that the
future of the U.S. in Southeast Asia is at stake; that the
FAL cannot hold back the
Communists; and that an immediate decision is urgently
required.
- 16.
- The recommendations of the team are as follows: (a) take
initial steps right now to implement SEATO Plan 5 or a suitable variation in order to
get the needed multi-national forces placed in desired positions
before the end of the rainy season; (b) simultaneously get tough
with Phoumi on leadership
and on an effective logistic support system within the FAL; and (c) be prepared to provide
Phoumi tactical air
support in the event hostilities are resumed.