Paris Peace Conf. 184.01102/424

Professor A. C. Coolidge to the Commission to Negotiate Peace

No. 253

Sirs: I have the honor to enclose herewith a copy of the official part of a letter which I have just received from Professor Philip M. Brown at Budapest. The letter seems to me of much interest and offers a picture from a point of view which we should otherwise lack. Professor [Page 448] Brown is evidently doing most important work under trying circumstances. I have reason to think that his presence at his post at this moment exercises a most valuable restraining influence on the government and has been beneficial to many unfortunate people. I believe he handles the difficult situation admirably.

On the other hand, while admitting the truth of his statements, I cannot concur with all of his conclusions. Granting that Bela Kun and those close to him deserve the credit which Professor Brown ascribes to them and granting that if they were to be overthrown there might be pillage and massacre, even this is not enough to settle the question of what would be the wisest policy for the Allied and Associated Powers to follow at the present juncture. Professor Brown’s evidence is almost entirely from one, interested side, and the fact that Bela Kun is wise enough, not only to maintain law and order but also to wish to establish decently civilized conditions, does not prove that he and his partisans are really moving to the right as far as their fundamental principles are concerned. I must admit too, that the idea of a “transitional” government groping towards something better appears to me a little nebulous. But even disregarding all such doubts, there are other considerations to be taken into account, and to be given even more weight than those mentioned by Professor Brown.

The question as to how the Allies should treat the government of Bela Kun is of importance not only to Hungary. It also will affect Austria, Bohemia, Germany, Poland, and indirectly at least the whole world. To give public recognition and encouragement to the man whose name stands next to that of Lenin and Trotsky as the apostle of international Bolshevism and class warfare is a grave matter. To invite him to come on a special mission to treat as an equal with representatives of the Allied Powers, and perhaps to serve as an intermediary between them and Lenin would vastly enhance his present importance as well as tend to stabilize his government and what it stands for in Hungary. This would be going a great deal further than General Smuts’ propositions, which were that Hungary should merely appear as one of several interested states in a general meeting, and there is no doubt that the mission of General Smuts did much to strengthen the hands and enhance the prestige of Bela Kun. At the same time it weakened the position of the government here, which had been telling its people that a Bolshevist revolution would mean the end of the Allied food supply which alone saved Vienna from starvation. Since then, in spite of the Smuts’ Mission, the statement has been repeated and it has been explicitly and officially confirmed by the English and French representatives here, whose utterances on the subject have never been repudiated. The belief in its truth has unquestionably been an influence for the maintenance of order. Conversely, every encouragement given to the [Page 449] present Hungarian regime weakens the hold of the Austrian government on its own more radical supporters.

In the eyes of the Hungarian Bolshevists few things at this moment could be more desirable than a revolution here, which would establish in Vienna a system similar to that of Budapest. It would be one more great step in the progress of international revolution, a conquest in itself and one full of menace to the security of Bohemia, of Poland, of Germany and beyond. On the other hand, the collapse or overthrow of the government of Bela Kun, whatever his merits as a statesman, would, provided it were succeeded by a moderate regime, depress revolutionists and strengthen the forces of law and order the world over. It is thus evident that the advisability of recognizing him does not depend solely on the likelihood of massacres in Budapest, however terrible. Large considerations have to be taken into account, and these considerations, whatever may be true tomorrow, are I believe decisive today against such action as recommended by Professor Brown. Let me add that my difference of opinion from him in this regard does not detract from my appreciation of the splendid work he is doing.

I have [etc.]

Archibald Cary Coolidge
[Enclosure]

Professor Philip M. Brown to Professor A. C. Coolidge

Dear Coolidge: I am taking advantage of a special train leaving for Vienna this afternoon to send Captain Scully back with this personal compte rendu. He can also obtain fresh supplies of provisions for our immediate needs.

The political situation is as follows: The Roumanian advance has profoundly discouraged this Government and inflamed the extremists. The Government for a long while has shown a disposition to move decidedly to the Bight, as I had occasion to report in detail previously. One single indication of this policy was the suppression two weeks ago of the Soldiers’ Councils—an institution of an obvious Bolshevist character. The extremists were fast losing ground prior to the Roumanian advance.

Even now, in spite of the frenzied appeals of the extremists, the Government has thus far succeeded in quietly getting them out of Budapest and sending them to the front. I have been assured confidentially that the most extreme leaders will not be allowed to return as members of the Government.

There was undoubtedly a serious counter-revolutionary plot involving a very large number of people, including some of the old [Page 450] police force. It was most unskillfully managed with the result that there have been many arrests, some just and many unjust. I believe that only two of the leaders have been shot.

Many of those placed under arrest are prominent persons suspected of being in sympathy with counter-revolutionary movements. Certainly many have been most indiscreet in openly showing their sentiments, and particularly in spreading rumors calculated to discredit this regime.

Unfortunately, some of the government officials were so ill-advised as to speak of these detenus as “hostages”. I immediately let them know that such an idea was utterly abhorrent, and was at once assured that the Government had no thought of resorting to such barbarous measures as might be implied by the use of such an expression. Moreover, they assured me that many of these suspects would be immediately released, and that they would endeavor to make use of surveillance rather than of detention in dealing with political enemies. I hear this morning that thirty were released in one bunch and that more will follow.

Allowance, of course, must be made in such times for so-called “preventive measures”; and it also must be recognized that when feeling runs so high, the Government is compelled to satisfy the extremists that the counter-revolutionists are being held effectively in check. It is a great satisfaction to Freeman and myself to be able to exert a moderating influence in behalf of these people.

Public order and security is being maintained most admirably, and I have yet to hear of any real excesses. Some abuses are committed, of course, in the carrying out of so radical a program involving private property rights, but even there, as I have had occasion to find out by personal investigation of several cases of American women married to Hungarians, much of the criticism is grossly exaggerated. Moreover, whenever the attention of the Government has been drawn to any such complaints, it has been quick to rectify such abuses. There have been many severe orders published in order to guard against same.

It is true that irresponsible zealots among the subordinate officials are hard to control, but Kun Bela has repeatedly given good evidence of his own determination to prevent excesses and abuses. I agree with Freeman that it is a fortunate thing that Kun Bela is in control of the situation at this time. We see no other strong man in sight to guarantee any sort of order and security. And this is why we must lay such strong emphasis on the impossibility of bringing about a transitional political transformation without the aid of Kun Bela. If we are to have a moderate Socialist regime which ultimately may be replaced by something still more moderate, the help of Kun Bela [Page 451] is absolutely required in the first transitional Government if we wish to avoid bloodshed.

In order to carry through such a program, it is entirely necessary to provide for some such conference between representatives of the Entente and representatives of Hungary as was suggested by General Smuts. (I believe he favored Paris, but I think Switzerland more desirable.) I do not need to reemphasize the great importance of having K. B. go as a member of the Hungarian delegation. It is perhaps the key to the whole problem.

In the absence of any agreement among the Entente as to the policy to be followed here, and in the absence of any authorized representative of the Entente with full powers to deal with so extraordinary a situation, there seems to have been no other course open to Freeman and myself except quietly to use our influence, when consulted, in this direction. We are encouraging this Government to purge itself of all Bolshevist taints and to endeavor to inspire some confidence in the outside world. K. B. and his associates have given me every evidence of their anxiety to carry out this program, and are working against great odds in this sense. Doctor Bolgar has informed me that his collaboration has been requested. He seems to Freeman and myself to be well intentioned, though perhaps lacking in force. I told him that perhaps the fact that he had represented this regime in Vienna at a time when they were resorting to questionable methods of propaganda might militate against him in the eyes of the outside world.

The situation is extraordinarily delicate and dangerous, but I am confident that we can weather some trying days with proper cooperation from without. I am convinced that in the present state of mind of the extremists, military intervention by the Entente would have bad results here in Budapest. It is not required so long as K. B. and his associates are induced to effect the transformation they have in mind. The advance of the Roumanians as an act not authorized by the Entente may have good results here in hastening the political changes desired, but if those changes are satisfactory, it might be desirable to exert strong influence to persuade the Roumanians to cease their invasion.

In the meantime, I earnestly hope that you and Gregory will do all in your power to back us up in this policy which was agreed on when I returned, and also, if you can do so without violence to your own judgment, to obtain from Paris an answer on this proposition for a conference in Switzerland along the lines already suggested by Smuts and myself. I consider this vital and urgent, and hope you will by telegraph get an answer at an early moment. It can do little harm; it may accomplish a great deal of good, particularly the one definite thing we had most in mind. As long as K. B. is essential to maintain order and avoid acts of terrorism, his help in the formation of a transitional [Page 452] government is indispensable. After that, we need have little concern, it seems to me.

Philip Brown