316. Report Prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency1
Monthly Warning Report: Nuclear Proliferation [portion marking not declassified]
[Omitted here is material unrelated to Pakistan.]
2. Pakistani Uranium Enrichment Technology Acquisition. Pakistan’s efforts to acquire foreign equipment for a uranium enrichment plant now under construction have been more extensive and sophisticated than previously indicated. Despite the best efforts of nuclear supplier states to thwart these activities, Pakistan may succeed in acquiring the main missing components for a strategically significant gas centrifuge enrichment capability. To the extent Indians learn about or suspect Pakistani progress toward a nuclear weapons capability, and there are signs of heightened concern, their aversion to intrusive safeguards on nuclear facilities and their interest in more nuclear weapons-oriented activities may be strengthened substantially. [portion marking not declassified]
- Source: Central Intelligence Agency, National Intelligence Council, Job 83B01027R: Policy Files, Box 3, Folder 13: Monthly NIO Warning Memos. Secret; [handling restriction not declassified]. Prepared by Despres, who sent the report to Turner under a December 5 covering memorandum. (Ibid.)↩