407. Memorandum From the Deputy Director for Intelligence (Cline) to Acting Director of Central Intelligence Carter0
Washington, September 3,
1962.
SUBJECT
- Recent Soviet Military Activities in Cuba
- 1.
- U-2 photography of 29 August confirms extensive Soviet military deliveries to Cuba in recent weeks. Surface-to-air missile (SAM) sites, guided missile boats, and additional land armaments were observed.
- 2.
- The photography shows eight SAM sites
being set up. One probable assembly area has been identified and SAM equipment has been located at one
additional site.
- A.
- The small amount of permanent construction at these sites and the speed of the work indicate the program is proceeding on a crash basis.
- B.
- Some of these sites could be operational within a week or two.
- C.
- A minimum of 125 technically trained personnel will be
required to operate each site.a
- 1.
- This figure excludes security and support personnel.
- 2.
- No indications that Cubans are trained for SAMs. Soviet personnel doubtless will man the sites for at least the 9 to 12 months while Cubans are being trained.
- 3.
- Additional SAM sites
probably will be set up in the near future.
- A.
- All sites now confirmed are in the Western
one-third of the island.
- 1.
- The one area of SAM activity in Oriente province probably will be followed by several others in the vicinity.
- 2.
- Defector and clandestine reports from Las Villas province indicate that at least two sites will be located there, but no confirmation or definite locations thus far.
- B.
- The pattern now emerging suggests as many as 24 sites may eventually be set up—enough to blanket the entire island.
- 4.
- At least 8 Komar-class missile boats have been
delivered to Cuba in recent weeks.
- A.
- These PT-like boats carry two missile launchers each, with the radar guided missile effective against surface targets to ranges of between 15 and 17 miles. The missile carries a 2,000 lb. HE warhead.
- B.
- Some Cuban naval personnel have received training in the USSR, but it is not known if this included Komar training.
- C.
- These boats are in addition to 13 or more torpedo boats and 6 submarine chasers delivered by the USSR earlier this year.
- 5.
- The photography shows that current deliveries to Cuba
also contain land armaments, including tanks and
possibly self-propelled guns.
- A.
- Reports indicate other shipments have contained artillery, tanks, and possibly combat aircraft, but these are not confirmed.
- B.
- The photography of 29 August turned up the
highest number of MIG aircraft yet noted, some 37.
- 1.
- We believe Cubaʼs aircraft inventory includes approximately 60 MIG jet fighters, including at least a dozen MIG-19s.
- 2.
- No MIG-21s or any type of bomber have been noted.
- 6.
- Soviet shipments of military equipment and personnel
to Cuba show no sign of letting up.
- A.
- About 16 Soviet dry-cargo ships are now en
route to Cuba, of which at least 10 probably are
carrying military equipment.
- 1.
- Total number of military or military-related shipments to Cuba since the current deliveries began in mid-July may be as high as 65.
- 2.
- Routine Soviet deliveries of economic aid and trade goods are being made largely on Western ships.
- B.
- At least 1,700 Soviet military technicians
arrived in Cuba in late July and early August in
connection with these military activities.
- 1.
- Most of these Soviets appear to be involved in setting up SAM facilities but thus far we cannot conclude that this is their only objective.
- C.
- At least 1,300 more Soviets are arriving
unannounced this week; no reports on their
activities so far.
- 1.
- Still additional bloc personnel probably have arrived on some of the cargo ships.
Ray S. Cline1