87. Letter From the Secretary of State to the President’s Special Assistant (Stassen)1

Dear Harold: I have read Volume Five2 of your proposed policy of the United States on the question of disarmament with great interest and with appreciation for the complexity of the task.

In examining your report I have looked at it, of course, from the standpoint of the Department of State’s primary concern with its foreign policy aspects and implications.

Since May 10, the Soviet Union has made much of the fact that its proposals are concrete, detailed, and in various respects adopt views previously put forward by us, the United Kingdom, France, and Canada. The Soviet Union has claimed that the United States has turned its back on disarmament proper and is concerned only with inspection and control. They have pointed to the fact that the President’s Geneva proposal is not disarmament. They have also supported their argument that we do not desire disarmament by stressing the fact that we have placed our detailed past proposals in a reserved status.

The foreign policy effects of the present United States position, in my opinion, have to date not been unfavorable largely because of two factors. The first is the impact the President’s Geneva proposal has had on world opinion. The second is world awareness of an intensive United States review of policy as evidenced by your appointment as the President’s Special Assistant for Disarmament and by the disclosure that you had in turn appointed the eight task forces to assist you in your work.

These two factors have given us a period of grace during which we could formulate a general position on disarmament. I believe that this period of grace is coming to an end. The United States can no longer, without detriment to its international stature, continue to reserve its positions on disarmament. Our proposals should advance the security interests of the United States and make a favorable impact on our Allies as well as the Russians. For this we need a concrete and positive program. I do not consider that your report, in its present form, lends itself to United States proposals of this nature.

In analyzing your report and recommendations, I found three general problems: [Page 241]

  • First, the outline of the inspection and control system is so general that it does not provide me with the details necessary to evaluate your policy suggestions, which logically should spring from the effectiveness of the inspection system itself.
  • Second, from a foreign policy standpoint, it seems necessary to be able to give some fairly clear indication of the United States attitude towards limitations or reductions of armed forces and conventional armaments. Your report does not clearly point out what you would propose be said in this respect and, in fact, suggests that we should defer discussing the question of force levels until after the whole inspection system is installed. In this connection, I think we must take account of the policy decision made recently when we accepted the United Kingdom’s proposed language in the Four-Power resolution on disarmament in the present U.N. General Assembly. This language calls for priority attention to “early agreement on such measures of an adequately safeguarded disarmament plan as are now feasible”.3 I appreciate, of course, that this decision was made after your Report was submitted, but it does bear on the problem.
  • Third, while it is not clear what is proposed should be done in the nuclear field, it appears that no mention is made of the possibility of any ultimate reductions of nuclear weapons stockpiles as part of a general disarmament program. From the State Department’s standpoint, it would seem advisable that some provision should be made for this ultimate possibility, under adequate safeguards.

These are the principal comments which I have to make on your report. I am attaching, in addition, more detailed comments to supplement these views.

Sincerely yours,

Foster

Attachment

Memorandum Prepared in the Department of State4

COMMENTS ON VOLUME V OF THE PROGRESS REPORT ON PROPOSED POLICY OF THE UNITED STATES ON THE QUESTION OF DISARMAMENT

1. Inspection

The outline of a possible system of inspection is very general, since the detailed inspection plan is apparently still in preparation. Without such a detailed plan and information as to the stages in which [Page 242] it would be applied, it is not possible to arrive at an adequate judgment of the policy suggestions which are put forward. The outline of the proposed inspection system raises a number of important questions. How would the inspection system provide the kind of inspection and control necessary to police an agreement for limiting nuclear production to peaceful uses? Would the whole inspection system, involving some 20,000 to 30,000 US personnel in communist areas, be required for support of such preliminary steps as are involved in the President’s proposal or in modest initial reductions of conventional forces? In what way would the proposed bilateral inspection system between the US and the USSR be expanded into a multilateral system? Until detailed proposals for an inspection system and its various phases are available only preliminary comments can be made on the policy recommendations in the Report.

2. Reductions of Conventional Forces

The Report does not include among the “priority objectives” of the United States any reference to lessening of the burden of armaments. The NSC Action to which the Report is responsive states that the US in its own interest should “actively seek an international system for the regulation and reduction of armed forces and armaments.” The Report proposes that the US should defer contemplation of other than modest initial reductions of conventional and nuclear weapons carrying capacity forces until after the whole inspection system is installed and in the meantime should avoid discussion of reduced force levels.

Avoidance of discussion or negotiation on force levels and reductions would be disadvantageous for both practical and political reasons.

a.

(1) From a practical point of view, it is difficult to see how reduction of numerically superior Soviet conventional forces to a position of numerical equality with US conventional forces could fail to assist US security.

(2) It is conceivable that even if the NATO countries should maintain present levels of military expenditures, they might decide to spend a greater proportion for equipment and as a consequence decide to reduce the numerical levels of forces.

(3) Moreover, despite recent evidences of Soviet intransigence on major political issues, US allies and US public opinion continue to believe that the Soviets are not going to resort to military force. There will continue to be domestic political pressures among our allies and in this country which will tend in the direction of unilateral reductions of conventional forces and armaments.

(4) For these reasons it is in the US interest to use our bargaining position to secure agreements from the Russians for mutual reduction of conventional forces before that bargaining position deteriorates.

b.
US avoidance of discussion of force levels will put the US in a poor political position. The US originally proposed for illustrative purposes the figures for US and USSR forces which the Soviets are now putting forth. It is obviously damaging that the USSR with a greater number of conventional forces should be professing to agree to a reduction which would place it on terms of equality with the US while the US gives the impression of backing away from such discussion. It is particularly damaging since the US has previously maintained that reduction of Soviet conventional superiority is a logical precondition to progress toward control or reduction of nuclear capabilities.

Before the US adopts a position with respect to reduction of forces, military advice is required from the Department of Defense as to whether reduction of conventional forces to the levels now proposed by the USSR would or would not be advantageous to US security on the assumption that for the foreseeable future both the US and USSR will retain massive nuclear capabilities. The Joint Chiefs of Staff have accurately stated that the levels proposed were set forward by the US merely for illustrative purposes and did not derive from any realistic military analysis. They should now be requested to undertake a military analysis of whether or not these or other agreed levels of forces would be acceptable from the point of view of the military security of the United States.

3. Nuclear Control

The Report makes the proposal that the US should agree that future nuclear production should be only for peaceful purposes at such time as an international control agency can supervise the material produced and maintain it in safeguarded stockpiles. In the previous volume of the Progress Report, it was proposed that nuclear production should cease, except for that incidental to peaceful uses. It is not clear whether the present proposal includes such cessation. Cessation of nuclear production, except incidental to peaceful purposes, would seem to have the practical value of (a) leading to a freezing of USSR capabilities, (b) preventing the achievement of nuclear weapons capabilities by countries which do not now possess nuclear weapons, if supervised effectively.

The proposed policy makes no provision for the possibility of eventual reductions in nuclear weapons stockpiles as part of a general disarmament program. It may well be advisable to include some such provision. Eventual safeguarded reduction of stockpiles would be in the interest of the US, as indicated in somewhat different context in the President’s December 8, 1953 atoms-for-peace proposal. If the US does not propose such reductions it will be accused of having abandoned reductions of nuclear armaments as even an eventual goal.

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4. General Comments

a.
The Report does not mention reductions of conventional armaments (as distinct from forces) except for the possibility of eventual reduction of nuclear weapons carrying capacity.
b.
The Report proposes a synthesis of acceptable portions of UK, French and USSR proposals. How would an acceptable synthesis be achieved which would dispose of the difficulty that these proposals call for prohibition and elimination of nuclear weapons, and this concept affects all other parts of the UK, French and Soviet proposals?
c.
The Report calls for cessation of nuclear weapons tests as part of a “comprehensive arrangement”. What kind of an arrangement is envisaged and at what stage in it would cessation of nuclear tests be agreed to?
d.
Is the International Atomic Control Agency, mentioned in the Report, the agency of which the statute is now being negotiated or is it a part of the International Armaments Commission to which the Report refers in outlining the proposed inspection system?
e.
Consultation with our allies will be required prior to taking definitive positions with respect to inspection or reduction of forces, in any case where the territory or forces of our allies are concerned. In view of the inter-dependency of forces developed under the NATO alliance, full consultation with the Organization as a whole would be requisite with respect to any aspect which bore upon NATO defense, including inspection of U.S. bases in the general NATO area and force reductions of any NATO country, including the United States, if its NATO contribution was thus affected.
  1. Source: Department of State, Disarmament Files: Lot 58 D 133, Disarmament Policy. Top Secret.
  2. Document 82.
  3. Regarding the four-power resolution in the United Nations, see the editorial note, infra.
  4. Top Secret.