763.72/2653½

The Secretary of State to President Wilson

My Dear Mr. President: In view of the press despatches which are coming from Berlin—although we have received nothing of an official nature indicating the course which the German Government will pursue—I am convinced that there will be an attempt to compromise in the declaration, if they do make any declaration in regard to the abandonment of submarine warfare. Any conditions which they may advance will undoubtedly be based upon their position as to armed and unarmed merchant vessels.

It would seem to me a decided strategic advantage to have made known clearly our position in regard to armed vessels before Germany presents her reply. To do that it will be necessary for us to make public in some way the memorandum which I sent you Monday morning, and which you returned to me with your general approval. It could be done by a formal statement issued from the Department; by sending the memorandum to the various belligerents; or by sending it to the Committees on Foreign Relations and Foreign Affairs in Congress. If it seems advisable to you to do this it seems to me that the time to do it is at once, before we receive Germany’s reply.

Faithfully yours,

Robert Lansing

P. S. Since writing the foregoing Mr. Polk has just handed me the enclosed memorandum of a conversation over the telephone with Colonel House this afternoon.

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[Enclosure]

Memorandum by the Counselor for the Department of State (Polk)

Colonel House called me up this afternoon shortly after four and said he had just had a conversation with the German Ambassador who had heard from his Government. His Government is most anxious to avoid a break and asked him what was the best course to pursue. They also asked him what was meant by “illegal method of submarine warfare”. These two questions will be answered by the Ambassador without going to the Department of State.

His Government also wanted to know if they gave up submarine warfare what the United States would do about the blockade.

Colonel House advised him to tell his Government not to send a note suggesting a compromise, and, above all, not to raise any question in regard to the blockade. He stated the only safe course to pursue would be to advise the German Government to agree to discontinue submarine warfare pending negotiations.

This the Ambassador said he would do at once, and also said he would warn them not to send anything in the nature of a note. In regard to the Blockade, Colonel House pointed out that our relations, as far as Great Britain is concerned, are quite different from our relations with Germany; that war with Germany would be possible, whereas, war with Great Britain was more or less out of the question. This the Ambassador said he understood.

Colonel House thought it advisable to issue at the earliest possible moment the memorandum on armed merchant vessels, a copy of which he had seen. He suggested that it be issued tonight for the morning papers, but I told him in the absence of the President that was impossible. He urged that the matter be presented to the President with the suggestion that the memorandum be given out not later than in time for the afternoon papers Wednesday.

He suggested one or two changes in the wording of the memorandum. These changes have been called to your attention and have been made.